Worth on Donovan Mitchell, Terry Rozier Overs

It could be Sunday, however that doesn’t imply that we are able to’t make cash on the NBA along with soccer. There’s an eight-game NBA slate on Sunday, with Knicks-Suns being the one early tip. Nevertheless, the opposite video games tip off at 6 p.m. ET or later, providing you with time to place your NFL winnings on the NBA. Listed here are the participant props I’ve focused.

NBA Participant Props & Picks

De’Aaron Fox Over 24.5 Factors (-122)

A few weeks again, I focused Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s factors line in opposition to the Pistons. He completed with 33 factors and joined the already lengthy checklist of level guards to use the Pistons this season. As we speak, I’m going again to the properly and concentrating on one other Kentucky guard, De’Aaron Fox.

Fox is averaging 24.8 factors on the yr. He has scored 25 factors in eight of his 13 video games this season, together with a 28-point efficiency in opposition to the Spurs in his final day out. Each the amount and favorable matchup are there to get him to 25 factors once more on Sunday.

This yr, he’s averaging 17.2 subject aim makes an attempt per sport whereas enjoying with exceptional effectivity as he’s taking pictures 55.4% from the sphere. That features 37.8% on about 5 3-point makes an attempt per sport, however like SGA, Fox likes to get into the lane and function within the midrange space.

That ought to play properly in opposition to Detroit because the Pistons rank twenty sixth in 2-point share protection and twenty seventh in factors within the paint allowed. The Pistons are additionally twenty ninth in factors allowed per sport and useless final in defending level guards. Fox ought to have ample alternative to attain 25 factors and threaten 30 factors, which is +200 on FanDuel as properly.

Terry Rozier Over 29.5 Factors + Rebounds + Assists (-110)

Charlotte obtained a lift when its younger star level guard LaMelo Ball returned to the ground. Sadly, Ball reinjured his ankle, and he will probably be out as soon as once more on Sunday. Nevertheless, when Ball is unavailable, extra is required of his backcourt mate, Terry Rozier.

When Ball is out of the lineup, Rozier takes on extra playmaking obligations. He’s additionally averaging 23.8 subject aim makes an attempt when Ball is out, in comparison with 16.3 with him on the ground this season. He has hit this line in 5 of seven video games this season with out Ball and is averaging 31.9 Factors + Rebounds + Assists (PRA) in these video games.

One of many misses this yr was in opposition to the Wizards, however he nonetheless had 19 factors, three rebounds, and 5 assists. Nevertheless, since Rozier has joined the Hornets, he has torched the Wizards frequently. Because the begin of the 2019-20 season, he’s averaging 22.9 factors, 5.1 rebounds, and 4.7 assists. That provides up 32.7 PRA, which might safely clear this line.

As of this writing, DraftKings is providing Rozier’s PRA line at 29.5, in comparison with 30.5 on FanDuel at roughly the identical odds.

Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (-106)

Donovan Mitchell and his Cavaliers simply confronted Rozier and his Hornets on Friday night time in an exhilarating 132-122 double-overtime victory for the Cavaliers. Mitchell shot simply 2-for-9 from behind the arc, however the quantity is all the time there with him. He makes an attempt 9.5 3-pointers per sport and is making 41.1% of them. This is without doubt one of the explanation why he’s fourth within the league in scoring at 31.2 factors per sport.

Nevertheless, in the present day is about his matchup. The Miami Warmth struggled defending the 3-point line in opposition to taking pictures guards final yr, and that has continued into this season because the Warmth are permitting the second-most 3s to taking pictures guards. Miami can also be twenty eighth in 3-pointers allowed general and twenty first in 3-point share protection.

The plain beneficiary is Mitchell, who’s due for a breakout after taking pictures 8-for-28 from past the arc over the past three video games. When Mitchell is feeling it, he can knock down 4 3s in 1 / 4. I’m banking on his quantity and the favorable matchup in opposition to the Warmth to finish his chilly spell.